Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

396.46 – 285.05

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

397 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 575.4 ±9

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 13.08Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 139.06Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 244.32Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 495.3 ±10.5

9055Knights of Katahdin (Ka TAH din)

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 24.3Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 129.98Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 130.77Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1277, 4909, 3467

/ 100 compat

Projected

396.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1277, 4909, 3467

Auto

66.3 18%

Teleop

217.2 57%

Endgame

94.5 25%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9055, 1073, 95

/ 100 compat

Projected

285.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9055, 1073, 95

Auto

44.9 16%

Teleop

160.9 58%

Endgame

71.4 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score396.5pts

Blue projected score285.1pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111.4
Score range: 256–425
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 669 vs event baseline 160.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

575.4Season APEX495.3

66.3Auto44.9

217.2Teleop160.9

94.5Endgame71.4

0Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	58
teleop	204	137
endgame	111	57
foul	25	20
total	397	272

Result

Final score

397 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 pts

Match videos

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