Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

386.56 – 284.38

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

461 – 295

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 575.4 ±9

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 9.69Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 135.83Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 241.04Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 495.3 ±10.5

9055Knights of Katahdin (Ka TAH din)

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 23.96Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 129.93Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 130.49Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1277, 4909, 3467

/ 100 compat

Projected

386.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1277, 4909, 3467

Auto

63.4 17%

Teleop

217.7 58%

Endgame

95.8 25%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9055, 1073, 95

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9055, 1073, 95

Auto

41.6 15%

Teleop

164.3 60%

Endgame

69.1 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.16 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score386.6pts

Blue projected score284.4pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 102.2
Score range: 256–415
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 756 vs event baseline 157.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

575.4Season APEX495.3

63.4Auto41.6

217.7Teleop164.3

95.8Endgame69.1

2Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	86	73
teleop	213	132
endgame	87	90
foul	75	0
total	461	295

Result

Final score

461 – 295

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 pts

Match videos

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