Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

681.56 – 594.67

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

701 – 580

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 933.8 ±9.3

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 272.07Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 247.03Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2996Cougars Gone Wired

Season APEX 272.6Event APEX 162.46Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 787.7 ±8.1

1540Flaming Chickens

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 228.91Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5549Gryphon Robotics

Season APEX 254Event APEX 196.13Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 169.63Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 973, 9128, 2996

/ 100 compat

Projected

681.6 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 973, 9128, 2996

Auto

122.2 18%

Teleop

377.7 56%

Endgame

172.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 40%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1540, 5549, 6647

/ 100 compat

Projected

594.7 pts

~1.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 1540, 5549, 6647

Auto

107.0 18%

Teleop

323.3 55%

Endgame

158.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 40%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.56 · Blue 1.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score681.6pts

Blue projected score594.7pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 40%, blue 44%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 86.9
Score range: 511–766
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1281 vs event baseline 465.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

933.8Season APEX787.7

122.2Auto107

377.7Teleop323.3

172.1Endgame158.7

160Consistency176

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	94
teleop	388	292
endgame	231	174
foul	15	20
total	701	580

Result

Final score

701 – 580

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 pts

Match videos

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