Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
534.19 – 604.58
29%71%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
672 – 399
Prediction missed · off by 171.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 872.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 163.12Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 267.9Event APEX 169.31Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 303.1Event APEX 201.76Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 887.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 186.36Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 270.6Event APEX 220.28Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 197.94Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 195, 2052, 9408
75
/ 100 compatProjected
534.2 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 195, 2052, 9408
Auto
99.0 19%
Teleop
281.6 54%
Endgame
142.5 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 31%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5736, 4400, 6036
83
/ 100 compatProjected
604.6 pts
~2.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 5736, 4400, 6036
Auto
127.8 21%
Teleop
325.6 55%
Endgame
142.7 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 31%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.59 · Blue 2.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score534.2pts
Blue projected score604.6pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 76%
Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 39%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -70.4
- Score range
- 451–688
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
872.4Season APEX887.5
99Auto127.8
281.6Teleop325.6
142.5Endgame142.7
138Consistency165
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 111 | 57 |
| teleop | 394 | 183 |
| endgame | 152 | 149 |
| foul | 15 | 10 |
| total | 672 | 399 |
Result
Final score
672 – 399
Prediction missed · off by 171.7 pts
Match videos
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