Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

828.76 – 582.76

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

769 – 318

Prediction correct · off by 162.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 957.2 ±8.1

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 392.3Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 161.52Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 274.94Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 853.2 ±9.3

6436NARBULUT PARS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 158.31Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 252.86Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

599The Robodox

Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 171.59Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2910, 868, 2046

/ 100 compat

Projected

828.8 pts

~3.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 2910, 868, 2046

Auto

132.0 16%

Teleop

464.8 57%

Endgame

225.3 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 39%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6436, 1796, 599

/ 100 compat

Projected

582.8 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 6436, 1796, 599

Auto

132.0 23%

Teleop

317.8 54%

Endgame

136.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 39%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.97 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score828.8pts

Blue projected score582.8pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 39%, blue 46%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 246
Score range: 500–912
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 1087 vs event baseline 458.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

957.2Season APEX853.2

132Auto132

464.8Teleop317.8

225.3Endgame136.2

151Consistency121

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	96
teleop	460	171
endgame	214	51
foul	15	0
total	769	318

Result

Final score

769 – 318

Prediction correct · off by 162.3 pts

Match videos

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