Qualification · Qualification 99

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

391.13 – 394.2

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

570 – 586

Prediction correct · off by 185.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 765.2 ±13.9

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 152.38Rank 48Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

687The Nerd Herd

Season APEX 227.6Event APEX 146.25Rank 33Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5951Makers Assemble

Provisional

Season APEX 288.7Event APEX 92.5Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 803.2 ±8.7

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 78.63Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 126.69Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5549Gryphon Robotics

Season APEX 254Event APEX 188.88Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8046, 687, 5951

/ 100 compat

Projected

391.1 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 8046, 687, 5951

Auto

43.9 11%

Teleop

186.4 49%

Endgame

152.4 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 88, 346, 5549

/ 100 compat

Projected

394.2 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 88, 346, 5549

Auto

73.1 19%

Teleop

210.8 55%

Endgame

99.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.05 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score391.1pts

Blue projected score394.2pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 42%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.1
Score range: 309–476
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 1156 vs event baseline 454.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

765.2Season APEX803.2

43.9Auto73.1

186.4Teleop210.8

152.4Endgame99

175Consistency134

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	92	88
teleop	337	327
endgame	141	166
foul	0	5
total	570	586

Result

Final score

570 – 586

Prediction correct · off by 185.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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