Qualification · Qualification 98

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

301.68 – 523.11

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

214 – 438

Prediction correct · off by 86.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 746.6 ±14.3

9029Team NF

Season APEX 203.7Event APEX 65.84Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 148.55Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1577Steampunk

Provisional

Season APEX 282.9Event APEX 87.29Rank 43Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 860.4 ±9.8

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 86.36Rank 29Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 212.24Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9408Warren Warbots

A+

Season APEX 303.1Event APEX 224.51Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9029, 2067, 1577

/ 100 compat

Projected

301.7 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 9029, 2067, 1577

Auto

71.5 24%

Teleop

189.1 62%

Endgame

43.5 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2783, 5736, 9408

/ 100 compat

Projected

523.1 pts

~3.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 2783, 5736, 9408

Auto

124.5 24%

Teleop

316.2 60%

Endgame

82.3 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score301.7pts

Blue projected score523.1pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 32%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -221.4
Score range: 220–605
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 652 vs event baseline 455.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

746.6Season APEX860.4

71.5Auto124.5

189.1Teleop316.2

43.5Endgame82.3

137Consistency141

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	94
teleop	87	233
endgame	34	96
foul	5	15
total	214	438

Result

Final score

214 – 438

Prediction correct · off by 86.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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