Qualification · Qualification 96
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
298.93 – 433.96
16%84%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
432 – 460
Prediction correct · off by 79.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 656.7 ±10.5
Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 84.14Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 100.54Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 220.8Event APEX 114.25Rank 61Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 721.9 ±9.9
Season APEX 259.2Event APEX 135.23Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 150.04Rank 50Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 148.69Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 818, 3354, 424
59
/ 100 compatProjected
298.9 pts
~1.4 RP (championship)
Teams: 818, 3354, 424
Auto
69.7 23%
Teleop
159.5 53%
Endgame
73.1 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 84%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3044, 4206, 2370
69
/ 100 compatProjected
434 pts
~2.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 3044, 4206, 2370
Auto
92.8 22%
Teleop
231.8 54%
Endgame
105.9 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 84%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.42 · Blue 2.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score298.9pts
Blue projected score434pts
Red win probability16%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 84%, blue 70%
Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 32%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -135
- Score range
- 217–516
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
656.7Season APEX721.9
69.7Auto92.8
159.5Teleop231.8
73.1Endgame105.9
175Consistency159
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 105 | 109 |
| teleop | 218 | 244 |
| endgame | 109 | 102 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 432 | 460 |
Result
Final score
432 – 460
Prediction correct · off by 79.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.