Qualification · Qualification 94

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

367.3 – 353.12

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

424 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 765.5 ±8.7

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 153.15Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2713Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 272.1Event APEX 133.36Rank 32Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 80.79Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 623.8 ±9.9

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 149.3Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 41.99Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10903The Ionizers

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 161.83Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 341, 2713, 2586

/ 100 compat

Projected

367.3 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 341, 2713, 2586

Auto

76.1 21%

Teleop

227.6 61%

Endgame

66.6 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 148, 5414, 10903

/ 100 compat

Projected

353.1 pts

~1.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 148, 5414, 10903

Auto

58.2 17%

Teleop

168.3 49%

Endgame

114.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score367.3pts

Blue projected score353.1pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 77%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 14.2
Score range: 271–449
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 745 vs event baseline 458.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

765.5Season APEX623.8

76.1Auto58.2

227.6Teleop168.3

66.6Endgame114

164Consistency126

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	86	86
teleop	251	162
endgame	87	68
foul	0	5
total	424	321

Result

Final score

424 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.