Qualification · Qualification 93

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

411.31 – 507.59

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

432 – 514

Prediction correct · off by 13.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 659.5 ±11.6

386Team Voltage

Season APEX 199Event APEX 88.99Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4400Cerbotics - Peñoles

Season APEX 270.6Event APEX 237.62Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1902Exploding Bacon

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 84.7Rank 65Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 721.5 ±8.7

10553Orange Overdrive

Season APEX 183.6Event APEX 110.69Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 227.79Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 169.11Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 386, 4400, 1902

/ 100 compat

Projected

411.3 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 386, 4400, 1902

Auto

67.4 17%

Teleop

226.1 56%

Endgame

111.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10553, 5216, 1833

/ 100 compat

Projected

507.6 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 10553, 5216, 1833

Auto

110.0 22%

Teleop

253.3 51%

Endgame

128.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.3 · Blue 2.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score411.3pts

Blue projected score507.6pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 42%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -96.3
Score range: 329–590
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 946 vs event baseline 457.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

659.5Season APEX721.5

67.4Auto110

226.1Teleop253.3

111.4Endgame128.7

194Consistency146

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	74
teleop	245	274
endgame	98	156
foul	0	10
total	432	514

Result

Final score

432 – 514

Prediction correct · off by 13.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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