Qualification · Qualification 92

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

342.79 – 542.58

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

568 – 781

Prediction correct · off by 231.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 779.1 ±9.3

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 121.96Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3276TOOLCATS

Season APEX 231Event APEX 97.72Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 123.11Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 896 ±8.1

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 199.87Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

695Bison Robotics

A+

Season APEX 302.1Event APEX 219.05Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2194Fondy Fire

Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 123.66Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 195, 3276, 930

/ 100 compat

Projected

342.8 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 195, 3276, 930

Auto

65.4 20%

Teleop

179.8 54%

Endgame

88.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2046, 695, 2194

/ 100 compat

Projected

542.6 pts

~3.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 2046, 695, 2194

Auto

78.7 15%

Teleop

256.4 47%

Endgame

206.7 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score342.8pts

Blue projected score542.6pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 38%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -199.8
Score range: 261–625
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1349 vs event baseline 455.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

779.1Season APEX896

65.4Auto78.7

179.8Teleop256.4

88.1Endgame206.7

150Consistency188

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	133	168
teleop	309	470
endgame	126	138
foul	0	5
total	568	781

Result

Final score

568 – 781

Prediction correct · off by 231.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.