Qualification · Qualification 91

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

697.3 – 567

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

737 – 524

Prediction correct · off by 41.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 891.4 ±8.7

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 397.13Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3256WarriorBorgs

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 140.92Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 159.25Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 837.6 ±8.7

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 183.05Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 215.48Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8373The Flying Octopi

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 168.47Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2910, 3256, 868

/ 100 compat

Projected

697.3 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 2910, 3256, 868

Auto

132.1 19%

Teleop

405.3 58%

Endgame

157.0 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 40%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 604, 1922, 8373

/ 100 compat

Projected

567 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 604, 1922, 8373

Auto

84.8 15%

Teleop

329.9 58%

Endgame

150.9 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 40%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.73 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score697.3pts

Blue projected score567pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 79%

Supercharged bonusred 40%, blue 48%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 130.3
Score range: 485–779
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1261 vs event baseline 453.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

891.4Season APEX837.6

132.1Auto84.8

405.3Teleop329.9

157Endgame150.9

190Consistency157

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	113	76
teleop	418	269
endgame	206	179
foul	0	0
total	737	524

Result

Final score

737 – 524

Prediction correct · off by 41.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.