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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Newton Division

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

210.97 – 210.97

50%50%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

347 – 491

Prediction missed · off by 208 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 788.6 ±9.9
3256WarriorBorgs
A
Season APEX 282.2Event APEX -Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3044Team 0xBE4
A
Season APEX 259.2Event APEX -Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7160Ludington O-Bots
A
Season APEX 247.2Event APEX -Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 853.4 ±14.3
3966Gryphon Command
A
Season APEX 235.8Event APEX -Rank 19Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6036Peninsula Robotics
S
Season APEX 334.7Event APEX -Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1577Steampunk
Provisional
Season APEX 282.9Event APEX -Rank 43Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3256, 3044, 7160
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
211 pts
~2.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 3256, 3044, 7160
Auto
63.3 30%
Teleop
105.5 50%
Endgame
42.2 20%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 39%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3966, 6036, 1577
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
211 pts
~2.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 3966, 6036, 1577
Auto
63.3 30%
Teleop
105.5 50%
Endgame
42.2 20%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 39%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.09 · Blue 2.06
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score211pts
Blue projected score211pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 68%, blue 72%
Supercharged bonusred 39%, blue 33%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
0
Score range
135–287
Upset likelihood
50%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 838 vs event baseline 421.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

788.6Season APEX853.4
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6070
teleop135324
endgame15282
foul015
total347491

Result

Final score

347 – 491

Prediction missed · off by 208 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable

Match videos

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