Qualification · Qualification 84

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

416.92 – 663.63

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

435 – 615

Prediction correct · off by 33.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 789.1 ±8.8

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 187.56Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 79.93Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 149.43Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 852.3 ±9.3

4400Cerbotics - Peñoles

Season APEX 270.6Event APEX 246.61Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 174.96Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 242.06Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2046, 10979, 2370

/ 100 compat

Projected

416.9 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2046, 10979, 2370

Auto

76.2 18%

Teleop

209.3 51%

Endgame

127.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4400, 1833, 948

/ 100 compat

Projected

663.6 pts

~3.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 4400, 1833, 948

Auto

139.4 22%

Teleop

358.7 56%

Endgame

144.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.05 · Blue 3.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score416.9pts

Blue projected score663.6pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 43%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -246.7
Score range: 335–746
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1050 vs event baseline 453.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

789.1Season APEX852.3

76.2Auto139.4

209.3Teleop358.7

127Endgame144.1

192Consistency158

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	115	120
teleop	242	310
endgame	73	185
foul	5	0
total	435	615

Result

Final score

435 – 615

Prediction correct · off by 33.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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