Qualification · Qualification 83

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

328.92 – 438.66

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

527 – 439

Prediction missed · off by 99.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 784.1 ±8.7

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 114.77Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3256WarriorBorgs

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 112.05Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 102.1Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 662.9 ±9.3

9067The Goonies

Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 157.39Rank 39Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 163.5Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2194Fondy Fire

Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 117.77Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3005, 3256, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

328.9 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 3005, 3256, 2067

Auto

112.2 34%

Teleop

176.8 54%

Endgame

40.5 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9067, 868, 2194

/ 100 compat

Projected

438.7 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 9067, 868, 2194

Auto

38.0 9%

Teleop

228.2 54%

Endgame

154.4 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.37 · Blue 2.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score328.9pts

Blue projected score438.7pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 28%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -109.7
Score range: 248–520
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 966 vs event baseline 452.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

784.1Season APEX662.9

112.2Auto38

176.8Teleop228.2

40.5Endgame154.4

145Consistency166

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	96
teleop	327	239
endgame	101	99
foul	0	5
total	527	439

Result

Final score

527 – 439

Prediction missed · off by 99.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.