Qualification · Qualification 82

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

518.61 – 395.53

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

682 – 501

Prediction correct · off by 134.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 937.1 ±11.2

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 190.1Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 250.58Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5948PrepaTec - Lebotics

Season APEX 338.5Event APEX 77.93Rank 14Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 762.7 ±11.9

8373The Flying Octopi

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 176.58Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3966Gryphon Command

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 162.45Rank 19Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 56.5Rank 66Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5736, 973, 5948

/ 100 compat

Projected

518.6 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 5736, 973, 5948

Auto

110.5 21%

Teleop

299.9 58%

Endgame

105.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8373, 3966, 6352

/ 100 compat

Projected

395.5 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 8373, 3966, 6352

Auto

60.9 16%

Teleop

242.3 64%

Endgame

76.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.76 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score518.6pts

Blue projected score395.5pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 77%

Supercharged bonusred 36%, blue 36%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 123.1
Score range: 315–600
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1183 vs event baseline 451.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

937.1Season APEX762.7

110.5Auto60.9

299.9Teleop242.3

105.1Endgame76.6

135Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	140	52
teleop	375	283
endgame	162	166
foul	5	0
total	682	501

Result

Final score

682 – 501

Prediction correct · off by 134.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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