Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

656.18 – 311.37

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

735 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 89.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 856.8 ±8.7

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 404.03Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4561TerrorBytes

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 94.86Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 157.29Rank 48Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 588.3 ±9.9

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 140.15Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1807Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 53.15Rank 52Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11463SHC Robotics

Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 118.07Rank 67Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2910, 4561, 8046

/ 100 compat

Projected

656.2 pts

~3.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2910, 4561, 8046

Auto

111.9 17%

Teleop

367.8 57%

Endgame

168.0 26%

Strengths

· 2910 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 37%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 930, 1807, 11463

/ 100 compat

Projected

311.4 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 930, 1807, 11463

Auto

54.6 18%

Teleop

135.6 45%

Endgame

113.8 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 37%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 3.13 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score656.2pts

Blue projected score311.4pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 37%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 344.8
Score range: 230–737
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 947 vs event baseline 448.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

856.8Season APEX588.3

111.9Auto54.6

367.8Teleop135.6

168Endgame113.8

188Consistency194

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	152	56
teleop	422	123
endgame	156	33
foul	5	0
total	735	212

Result

Final score

735 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 89.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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