Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
200.29 – 200.29
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
319 – 824
Prediction missed · off by 371.2 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 642.3 ±9.9
Season APEX 201.8Event APEX -Rank 50Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 212.2Event APEX -Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 228.3Event APEX -Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 903.9 ±8.7
Season APEX 234.2Event APEX -Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX -Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 368.3Event APEX -Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4206, 233, 9245
50
/ 100 compatProjected
200.3 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 4206, 233, 9245
Auto
60.1 30%
Teleop
100.1 50%
Endgame
40.1 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 22%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5216, 195, 2910
50
/ 100 compatProjected
200.3 pts
~2.2 RP (championship)
Teams: 5216, 195, 2910
Auto
60.1 30%
Teleop
100.1 50%
Endgame
40.1 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 22%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.93 · Blue 2.17
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score200.3pts
Blue projected score200.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 68%, blue 69%
Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 46%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 128–272
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
642.3Season APEX903.9
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 86 | 147 |
| teleop | 135 | 441 |
| endgame | 98 | 231 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 319 | 824 |
Result
Final score
319 – 824
Prediction missed · off by 371.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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