Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

502.92 – 291.15

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

527 – 546

Prediction missed · off by 139.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 813.3 ±14.3

4400Cerbotics - Peñoles

Season APEX 270.6Event APEX 245.66Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3256WarriorBorgs

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 122.09Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10935Krono

Provisional

Season APEX 260.5Event APEX 135.17Rank 70Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 723.6 ±14.3

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 100.08Rank 50Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 107.89Rank 58Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5951Makers Assemble

Provisional

Season APEX 288.7Event APEX 83.18Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4400, 3256, 10935

/ 100 compat

Projected

502.9 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 4400, 3256, 10935

Auto

108.5 22%

Teleop

289.2 59%

Endgame

92.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4206, 1108, 5951

/ 100 compat

Projected

291.2 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 4206, 1108, 5951

Auto

36.5 13%

Teleop

135.2 48%

Endgame

111.4 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.85 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score502.9pts

Blue projected score291.2pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 211.8
Score range: 211–583
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 1073 vs event baseline 446.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

813.3Season APEX723.6

108.5Auto36.5

289.2Teleop135.2

92.4Endgame111.4

197Consistency194

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	77
teleop	285	255
endgame	126	204
foul	0	10
total	527	546

Result

Final score

527 – 546

Prediction missed · off by 139.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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