Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

307.62 – 336.16

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

554 – 369

Prediction missed · off by 139.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 831.8 ±10.7

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 132.81Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8373The Flying Octopi

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 143.74Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5948PrepaTec - Lebotics

Season APEX 338.5Event APEX 31.07Rank 14Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 673.5 ±14.3

9067The Goonies

Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 176.56Rank 39Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1577Steampunk

Provisional

Season APEX 282.9Event APEX 93.2Rank 43Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 66.4Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2370, 8373, 5948

/ 100 compat

Projected

307.6 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 2370, 8373, 5948

Auto

87.5 30%

Teleop

178.5 60%

Endgame

30.2 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 37%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9067, 1577, 2586

/ 100 compat

Projected

336.2 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 9067, 1577, 2586

Auto

31.2 10%

Teleop

193.3 61%

Endgame

93.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 37%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.98 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score307.6pts

Blue projected score336.2pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 77%, blue 77%

Supercharged bonusred 37%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28.5
Score range: 227–417
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 923 vs event baseline 447.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

831.8Season APEX673.5

87.5Auto31.2

178.5Teleop193.3

30.2Endgame93.7

145Consistency141

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	97
teleop	344	186
endgame	164	81
foul	0	5
total	554	369

Result

Final score

554 – 369

Prediction missed · off by 139.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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