Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

688.85 – 503.24

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

723 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 151.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 887.8 ±9.8

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 197.27Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 375.35Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3354PrepaTec - TecDroid

Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 116.23Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 747.9 ±8.7

4561TerrorBytes

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 136.98Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 218.91Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9450Velocity Raptors

Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 147.35Rank 71Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5736, 2910, 3354

/ 100 compat

Projected

688.9 pts

~3.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 5736, 2910, 3354

Auto

146.0 21%

Teleop

420.1 62%

Endgame

116.0 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 41%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4561, 1833, 9450

/ 100 compat

Projected

503.2 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 4561, 1833, 9450

Auto

111.8 23%

Teleop

284.7 58%

Endgame

90.7 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 41%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 3.01 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score688.9pts

Blue projected score503.2pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 77%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 41%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 185.6
Score range: 423–769
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 958 vs event baseline 446.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

887.8Season APEX747.9

146Auto111.8

420.1Teleop284.7

116Endgame90.7

169Consistency169

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	157	117
teleop	355	89
endgame	211	29
foul	0	0
total	723	235

Result

Final score

723 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 151.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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