Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

321.52 – 469.44

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

376 – 573

Prediction correct · off by 79 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 645.8 ±11.1

233The Pink Team

Season APEX 212.2Event APEX 109.92Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11463SHC Robotics

Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 86.39Rank 67Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 125.21Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 803 ±8.7

695Bison Robotics

A+

Season APEX 302.1Event APEX 174.52Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 159Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 135.92Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 233, 11463, 346

/ 100 compat

Projected

321.5 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 233, 11463, 346

Auto

67.0 22%

Teleop

168.7 55%

Endgame

72.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 695, 868, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

469.4 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 695, 868, 2067

Auto

101.8 21%

Teleop

276.4 58%

Endgame

97.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.27 · Blue 2.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score321.5pts

Blue projected score469.4pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 32%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -147.9
Score range: 242–549
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 949 vs event baseline 446.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

645.8Season APEX803

67Auto101.8

168.7Teleop276.4

72.7Endgame97.9

133Consistency194

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	75
teleop	192	299
endgame	114	189
foul	5	10
total	376	573

Result

Final score

376 – 573

Prediction correct · off by 79 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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