Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
192 – 192
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
433 – 567
Prediction missed · off by 308 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 836.7 ±10.7
Season APEX 284.1Event APEX -Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 303.7Event APEX -Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 248.9Event APEX -Rank 48Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 884.2 ±13.9
Season APEX 344.8Event APEX -Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
10935Krono
Provisional
Season APEX 260.5Event APEX -Rank 70Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 278.9Event APEX -Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1884, 1833, 8046
50
/ 100 compatProjected
192 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 1884, 1833, 8046
Auto
57.6 30%
Teleop
96.0 50%
Endgame
38.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 22%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9128, 10935, 341
50
/ 100 compatProjected
192 pts
~2.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 9128, 10935, 341
Auto
57.6 30%
Teleop
96.0 50%
Endgame
38.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 22%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.93 · Blue 2.05
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score192pts
Blue projected score192pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 38%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 123–261
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
836.7Season APEX884.2
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 60 | 91 |
| teleop | 171 | 350 |
| endgame | 167 | 111 |
| foul | 35 | 15 |
| total | 433 | 567 |
Result
Final score
433 – 567
Prediction missed · off by 308 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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