Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

482.04 – 384.2

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

570 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 96.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 773.5 ±9.9

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 168.59Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1902Exploding Bacon

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 59.1Rank 65Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 254.35Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 628.6 ±9.9

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 263.8Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4253Raid Zero

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 54.99Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 65.41Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6647, 1902, 973

/ 100 compat

Projected

482 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 6647, 1902, 973

Auto

73.1 16%

Teleop

282.5 61%

Endgame

109.1 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 948, 4253, 5414

/ 100 compat

Projected

384.2 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 948, 4253, 5414

Auto

97.3 25%

Teleop

191.2 49%

Endgame

99.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.49 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score482pts

Blue projected score384.2pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.8
Score range: 303–563
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 850 vs event baseline 448.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

773.5Season APEX628.6

73.1Auto97.3

282.5Teleop191.2

109.1Endgame99.1

142Consistency159

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	115	55
teleop	318	153
endgame	137	72
foul	0	0
total	570	280

Result

Final score

570 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 96.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.