Qualification · Qualification 68
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
386.21 – 385.81
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
358 – 477
Prediction missed · off by 59.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 701.5 ±10.5
Season APEX 199Event APEX 98.41Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 231Event APEX 98.06Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 189.74Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 715.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 142.2Event APEX 103.11Rank 60Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 135.69Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 272.1Event APEX 147.01Rank 32Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 386, 3276, 1922
64
/ 100 compatProjected
386.2 pts
~2.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 386, 3276, 1922
Auto
53.1 14%
Teleop
207.4 54%
Endgame
122.7 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 25%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6988, 195, 2713
53
/ 100 compatProjected
385.8 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 6988, 195, 2713
Auto
41.2 11%
Teleop
275.2 75%
Endgame
52.3 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 25%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.92
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score386.2pts
Blue projected score385.8pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 71%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 25%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0.4
- Score range
- 305–467
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
701.5Season APEX715.7
53.1Auto41.2
207.4Teleop275.2
122.7Endgame52.3
197Consistency114
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 68 | 62 |
| teleop | 208 | 239 |
| endgame | 77 | 146 |
| foul | 5 | 30 |
| total | 358 | 477 |
Result
Final score
358 – 477
Prediction missed · off by 59.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.