Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

384.76 – 630.13

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

348 – 655

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 698.3 ±14.8

10935Krono

Provisional

Season APEX 260.5Event APEX 142.3Rank 70Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4253Raid Zero

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 48.54Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 193.92Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 828.7 ±8.7

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 71.65Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2194Fondy Fire

Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 182.25Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 376.23Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10935, 4253, 6647

/ 100 compat

Projected

384.8 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 10935, 4253, 6647

Auto

51.4 14%

Teleop

242.3 66%

Endgame

73.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2586, 2194, 2910

/ 100 compat

Projected

630.1 pts

~3.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 2586, 2194, 2910

Auto

115.6 18%

Teleop

353.7 56%

Endgame

165.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score384.8pts

Blue projected score630.1pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 30%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -245.4
Score range: 305–710
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1003 vs event baseline 446.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

698.3Season APEX828.7

51.4Auto115.6

242.3Teleop353.7

73.5Endgame165.6

147Consistency159

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	51
teleop	179	394
endgame	92	210
foul	0	0
total	348	655

Result

Final score

348 – 655

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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