Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

688.01 – 371.1

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

518 – 673

Prediction missed · off by 236 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 766.1 ±8.7

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 290.9Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 248.26Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 148.85Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 771.5 ±9.3

7160Ludington O-Bots

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 92.61Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6436NARBULUT PARS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 84.58Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9408Warren Warbots

A+

Season APEX 303.1Event APEX 193.91Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 948, 5216, 148

/ 100 compat

Projected

688 pts

~3.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 948, 5216, 148

Auto

115.7 17%

Teleop

375.2 55%

Endgame

192.0 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 43%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7160, 6436, 9408

/ 100 compat

Projected

371.1 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 7160, 6436, 9408

Auto

57.9 16%

Teleop

178.6 50%

Endgame

123.9 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 43%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 3.13 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score688pts

Blue projected score371.1pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 43%, blue 37%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 316.9
Score range: 291–768
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1191 vs event baseline 442.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

766.1Season APEX771.5

115.7Auto57.9

375.2Teleop178.6

192Endgame123.9

77Consistency197

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	91	102
teleop	272	417
endgame	155	154
foul	0	0
total	518	673

Result

Final score

518 – 673

Prediction missed · off by 236 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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