Qualification · Qualification 54
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
454.85 – 343.84
80%20%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
492 – 371
Prediction correct · off by 32.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 940.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 267.9Event APEX 195.54Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 338.5Event APEX 27.08Rank 14Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 232.23Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 713.6 ±10.4
Season APEX 272.6Event APEX 161.39Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 203.7Event APEX 43.04Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 139.41Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2052, 5948, 604
70
/ 100 compatProjected
454.9 pts
~2.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 2052, 5948, 604
Auto
89.3 21%
Teleop
207.1 48%
Endgame
138.4 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 74%
Supercharged: 35%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2996, 9029, 3354
56
/ 100 compatProjected
343.8 pts
~1.4 RP (championship)
Teams: 2996, 9029, 3354
Auto
79.0 25%
Teleop
228.2 72%
Endgame
11.3 4%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 74%
Supercharged: 35%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.71 · Blue 1.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score454.9pts
Blue projected score343.8pts
Red win probability80%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 74%, blue 70%
Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 32%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 111
- Score range
- 264–535
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
940.1Season APEX713.6
89.3Auto79
207.1Teleop228.2
138.4Endgame11.3
136Consistency210
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 110 | 75 |
| teleop | 273 | 187 |
| endgame | 109 | 109 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 492 | 371 |
Result
Final score
492 – 371
Prediction correct · off by 32.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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