Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

466.68 – 357.76

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

568 – 378

Prediction correct · off by 60.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 788.5 ±8.7

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 118.31Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 238.72Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 109.65Rank 50Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 812 ±9.3

180S.P.A.M.

Season APEX 250.7Event APEX 61.25Rank 54Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2713Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 272.1Event APEX 156.55Rank 32Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

599The Robodox

Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 139.96Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3005, 9128, 4206

/ 100 compat

Projected

466.7 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 3005, 9128, 4206

Auto

75.8 17%

Teleop

238.3 53%

Endgame

138.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 180, 2713, 599

/ 100 compat

Projected

357.8 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 180, 2713, 599

Auto

42.5 12%

Teleop

202.3 57%

Endgame

111.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.59 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score466.7pts

Blue projected score357.8pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 32%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 108.9
Score range: 279–546
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 946 vs event baseline 441.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

788.5Season APEX812

75.8Auto42.5

238.3Teleop202.3

138.7Endgame111.3

212Consistency115

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	120	89
teleop	331	281
endgame	87	8
foul	30	0
total	568	378

Result

Final score

568 – 378

Prediction correct · off by 60.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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