Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

398.31 – 390.47

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

426 – 529

Prediction missed · off by 83.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 717.9 ±9.8

6436NARBULUT PARS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 98.38Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 87.58Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 212.35Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 748.8 ±9.8

7160Ludington O-Bots

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 83.89Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4400Cerbotics - Peñoles

Season APEX 270.6Event APEX 193.51Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3276TOOLCATS

Season APEX 231Event APEX 113.07Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6436, 2586, 5736

/ 100 compat

Projected

398.3 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 6436, 2586, 5736

Auto

95.2 23%

Teleop

230.6 56%

Endgame

87.8 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7160, 4400, 3276

/ 100 compat

Projected

390.5 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 7160, 4400, 3276

Auto

40.7 11%

Teleop

222.1 59%

Endgame

111.2 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.04 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score398.3pts

Blue projected score390.5pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 40%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7.8
Score range: 311–477
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 955 vs event baseline 440.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

717.9Season APEX748.8

95.2Auto40.7

230.6Teleop222.1

87.8Endgame111.2

204Consistency120

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	102	101
teleop	204	290
endgame	120	123
foul	0	15
total	426	529

Result

Final score

426 – 529

Prediction missed · off by 83.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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