Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

437.34 – 366.36

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

364 – 524

Prediction missed · off by 115.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 673.7 ±9.3

4561TerrorBytes

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 117.83Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 139.9Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 179.61Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 844.1 ±8.7

695Bison Robotics

A+

Season APEX 302.1Event APEX 152.25Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 70.62Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3256WarriorBorgs

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 143.49Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4561, 148, 10979

/ 100 compat

Projected

437.3 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 4561, 148, 10979

Auto

66.5 15%

Teleop

274.7 63%

Endgame

96.4 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 695, 88, 3256

/ 100 compat

Projected

366.4 pts

~1.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 695, 88, 3256

Auto

104.8 28%

Teleop

203.7 54%

Endgame

69.9 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.34 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score437.3pts

Blue projected score366.4pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 38%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71
Score range: 287–516
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 888 vs event baseline 440.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

673.7Season APEX844.1

66.5Auto104.8

274.7Teleop203.7

96.4Endgame69.9

131Consistency141

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	94
teleop	210	285
endgame	69	145
foul	0	0
total	364	524

Result

Final score

364 – 524

Prediction missed · off by 115.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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