Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

396.13 – 271.74

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

650 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 144.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 848 ±9.3

9450Velocity Raptors

Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 101.05Rank 71Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 305.78Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX -10.7Rank 29Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 726.3 ±12.4

1902Exploding Bacon

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 59.72Rank 65Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 119.29Rank 66Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 92.73Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9450, 2910, 2783

/ 100 compat

Projected

396.1 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 9450, 2910, 2783

Auto

75.0 20%

Teleop

222.8 60%

Endgame

75.0 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1902, 6352, 3005

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.7 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 1902, 6352, 3005

Auto

68.2 24%

Teleop

143.6 52%

Endgame

67.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.66 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score396.1pts

Blue projected score271.7pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 124.4
Score range: 193–475
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 956 vs event baseline 437.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

848Season APEX726.3

75Auto68.2

222.8Teleop143.6

75Endgame67

154Consistency191

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	126	36
teleop	414	165
endgame	110	75
foul	0	30
total	650	306

Result

Final score

650 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 144.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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