Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

297.18 – 179.05

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

345 – 376

Prediction missed · off by 122.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 688.9 ±11.2

10553Orange Overdrive

Season APEX 183.6Event APEX 115.26Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1884Griffins

Season APEX 284.1Event APEX 132.46Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6436NARBULUT PARS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 49.46Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 778.7 ±11.2

5948PrepaTec - Lebotics

Season APEX 338.5Event APEX 23.55Rank 14Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 129.11Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 26.39Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10553, 1884, 6436

/ 100 compat

Projected

297.2 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 10553, 1884, 6436

Auto

73.8 27%

Teleop

92.6 34%

Endgame

108.0 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5948, 10979, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.1 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 5948, 10979, 2067

Auto

49.5 30%

Teleop

108.4 66%

Endgame

6.7 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.51 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score297.2pts

Blue projected score179.1pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 118.1
Score range: 101–375
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 721 vs event baseline 435.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

688.9Season APEX778.7

73.8Auto49.5

92.6Teleop108.4

108Endgame6.7

180Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	90
teleop	158	209
endgame	127	77
foul	0	0
total	345	376

Result

Final score

345 – 376

Prediction missed · off by 122.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.