Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

378.63 – 572.36

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

353 – 516

Prediction correct · off by 41 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 829.7 ±13.9

5951Makers Assemble

Provisional

Season APEX 288.7Event APEX 86.47Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 162.12Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4561TerrorBytes

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 130.04Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 915.6 ±8.7

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 226.86Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 242.81Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7160Ludington O-Bots

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 102.69Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5951, 195, 4561

/ 100 compat

Projected

378.6 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 5951, 195, 4561

Auto

35.8 10%

Teleop

198.8 54%

Endgame

131.8 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6036, 604, 7160

/ 100 compat

Projected

572.4 pts

~3.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 6036, 604, 7160

Auto

71.6 13%

Teleop

315.8 55%

Endgame

185.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.17 · Blue 2.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score378.6pts

Blue projected score572.4pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 41%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -193.7
Score range: 301–650
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 869 vs event baseline 435.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

829.7Season APEX915.6

35.8Auto71.6

198.8Teleop315.8

131.8Endgame185.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	20
teleop	212	309
endgame	93	167
foul	5	20
total	353	516

Result

Final score

353 – 516

Prediction correct · off by 41 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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