Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

289.96 – 373.45

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

582 – 602

Prediction correct · off by 260.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 787.2 ±8.1

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 92.96Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX -0.18Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1540Flaming Chickens

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 197.18Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 767 ±8.7

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 136.99Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 109.83Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9245Laker Dreadnoughts

Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 126.63Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2370, 88, 1540

/ 100 compat

Projected

290 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 2370, 88, 1540

Auto

74.9 27%

Teleop

143.7 52%

Endgame

55.8 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6647, 1922, 9245

/ 100 compat

Projected

373.5 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 6647, 1922, 9245

Auto

77.6 20%

Teleop

229.5 60%

Endgame

77.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.58 · Blue 2.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score290pts

Blue projected score373.5pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 34%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -83.5
Score range: 213–450
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 1184 vs event baseline 430.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

787.2Season APEX767

74.9Auto77.6

143.7Teleop229.5

55.8Endgame77.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	128	71
teleop	316	334
endgame	138	192
foul	0	5
total	582	602

Result

Final score

582 – 602

Prediction correct · off by 260.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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