Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

183.91 – 327.9

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

318 – 475

Prediction correct · off by 140.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 707.6 ±9.3

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 36.86Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 68.86Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 78.19Rank 58Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 718.1 ±9.3

3966Gryphon Command

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 111.68Rank 19Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9245Laker Dreadnoughts

Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 91.14Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5549Gryphon Robotics

Season APEX 254Event APEX 125.08Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2067, 2586, 1108

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.9 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 2067, 2586, 1108

Auto

54.1 31%

Teleop

81.5 46%

Endgame

39.7 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3966, 9245, 5549

/ 100 compat

Projected

327.9 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 3966, 9245, 5549

Auto

69.2 22%

Teleop

184.1 57%

Endgame

67.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.21 · Blue 2.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score183.9pts

Blue projected score327.9pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 33%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -144
Score range: 104–408
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 793 vs event baseline 446.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

707.6Season APEX718.1

54.1Auto69.2

81.5Teleop184.1

39.7Endgame67.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	78
teleop	169	289
endgame	65	108
foul	0	0
total	318	475

Result

Final score

318 – 475

Prediction correct · off by 140.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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