Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

363.92 – 455.03

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

367 – 422

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 742.4 ±11.9

2052KnightKrawler

Season APEX 267.9Event APEX 181.91Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 132.62Rank 66Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 49.39Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 729.4 ±8.7

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 136.22Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 147.78Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

687The Nerd Herd

Season APEX 227.6Event APEX 171.03Rank 33Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2052, 6352, 5414

/ 100 compat

Projected

363.9 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 2052, 6352, 5414

Auto

77.7 22%

Teleop

181.6 51%

Endgame

100.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2370, 868, 687

/ 100 compat

Projected

455 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 2370, 868, 687

Auto

76.5 17%

Teleop

272.5 60%

Endgame

105.8 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.47 · Blue 2.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score363.9pts

Blue projected score455pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 30%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91.1
Score range: 279–540
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 789 vs event baseline 472.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

742.4Season APEX729.4

77.7Auto76.5

181.6Teleop272.5

100Endgame105.8

166Consistency159

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	58
teleop	204	283
endgame	78	81
foul	5	0
total	367	422

Result

Final score

367 – 422

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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