Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

397.34 – 213.84

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

630 – 586

Prediction correct · off by 302.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 737.2 ±9.8

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 133.71Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9067The Goonies

Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 143.71Rank 39Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 119.92Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 815.6 ±9.9

3044Team 0xBE4

Season APEX 259.2Event APEX 72.38Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 58.5Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

599The Robodox

Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 82.96Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5736, 9067, 341

/ 100 compat

Projected

397.3 pts

~3.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 5736, 9067, 341

Auto

68.3 18%

Teleop

231.7 59%

Endgame

89.6 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3044, 6647, 599

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.8 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 3044, 6647, 599

Auto

43.6 21%

Teleop

111.4 53%

Endgame

53.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.98 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score397.3pts

Blue projected score213.8pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 42%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 183.5
Score range: 135–476
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 1216 vs event baseline 437.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

737.2Season APEX815.6

68.3Auto43.6

231.7Teleop111.4

89.6Endgame53.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	124	72
teleop	343	316
endgame	163	193
foul	0	5
total	630	586

Result

Final score

630 – 586

Prediction correct · off by 302.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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