Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

316.57 – 242.57

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

792 – 478

Prediction correct · off by 355.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 904 ±8.7

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX -Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 183.43Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 64.86Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 711.1 ±9.3

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 106Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

818The Steel Armadillos

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX -Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4400Cerbotics - Peñoles

Season APEX 270.6Event APEX -Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 973, 604, 148

/ 100 compat

Projected

316.6 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 973, 604, 148

Auto

61.1 20%

Teleop

168.1 55%

Endgame

74.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 40%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3005, 818, 4400

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.6 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 3005, 818, 4400

Auto

59.8 25%

Teleop

131.4 55%

Endgame

49.9 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 40%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.5 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score316.6pts

Blue projected score242.6pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 40%, blue 29%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 74
Score range: 169–391
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1270 vs event baseline 409.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

904Season APEX711.1

40.6Auto18.9

134Teleop63.1

60.9Endgame22.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	132	95
teleop	449	268
endgame	211	110
foul	0	5
total	792	478

Result

Final score

792 – 478

Prediction correct · off by 355.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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