Qualification · Qualification 125

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

358 – 322.79

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

400 – 366

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 653.3 ±10.4

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 43.82Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3354PrepaTec - TecDroid

Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 138.57Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3966Gryphon Command

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 175.61Rank 19Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 719.4 ±14.3

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 46.83Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5951Makers Assemble

Provisional

Season APEX 288.7Event APEX 135.01Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

180S.P.A.M.

Season APEX 250.7Event APEX 140.95Rank 54Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10979, 3354, 3966

/ 100 compat

Projected

358 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 10979, 3354, 3966

Auto

64.8 19%

Teleop

218.8 64%

Endgame

58.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5414, 5951, 180

/ 100 compat

Projected

322.8 pts

~1.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 5414, 5951, 180

Auto

77.0 24%

Teleop

142.7 45%

Endgame

100.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.27 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score358pts

Blue projected score322.8pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 77%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 35.2
Score range: 240–441
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 766 vs event baseline 459.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

653.3Season APEX719.4

64.8Auto77

218.8Teleop142.7

58Endgame100.8

157Consistency162

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	90
teleop	215	225
endgame	120	51
foul	0	0
total	400	366

Result

Final score

400 – 366

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.