Qualification · Qualification 123

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

518.54 – 450.36

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

546 – 457

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 804.9 ±8.7

5549Gryphon Robotics

Season APEX 254Event APEX 193.07Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7160Ludington O-Bots

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 131.09Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 194.38Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 744.1 ±9.3

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 175.81Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 107.1Rank 29Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 167.45Rank 50Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5549, 7160, 1833

/ 100 compat

Projected

518.5 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 5549, 7160, 1833

Auto

64.5 13%

Teleop

284.4 57%

Endgame

149.6 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 44%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6647, 2783, 4206

/ 100 compat

Projected

450.4 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 6647, 2783, 4206

Auto

90.9 21%

Teleop

278.5 63%

Endgame

73.5 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 44%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.51 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score518.5pts

Blue projected score450.4pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 44%, blue 32%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.2
Score range: 367–602
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1003 vs event baseline 458.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

804.9Season APEX744.1

64.5Auto90.9

284.4Teleop278.5

149.6Endgame73.5

149Consistency143

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	144	85
teleop	291	269
endgame	106	103
foul	5	0
total	546	457

Result

Final score

546 – 457

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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