Qualification · Qualification 122

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

579.57 – 610.61

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

465 – 317

Prediction missed · off by 204.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 943.7 ±10.7

695Bison Robotics

A+

Season APEX 302.1Event APEX 233.17Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9408Warren Warbots

A+

Season APEX 303.1Event APEX 214.31Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5948PrepaTec - Lebotics

Season APEX 338.5Event APEX 132.09Rank 14Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 869.4 ±9.9

1902Exploding Bacon

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 94.39Rank 65Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 243.61Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 272.61Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 695, 9408, 5948

/ 100 compat

Projected

579.6 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 695, 9408, 5948

Auto

100.4 18%

Teleop

322.5 57%

Endgame

146.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1902, 6036, 9128

/ 100 compat

Projected

610.6 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 1902, 6036, 9128

Auto

102.3 17%

Teleop

359.2 60%

Endgame

134.8 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.93 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score579.6pts

Blue projected score610.6pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 35%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31
Score range: 497–694
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 782 vs event baseline 459.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

943.7Season APEX869.4

100.4Auto102.3

322.5Teleop359.2

146.1Endgame134.8

135Consistency172

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	120	64
teleop	192	113
endgame	103	135
foul	50	5
total	465	317

Result

Final score

465 – 317

Prediction missed · off by 204.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.