Qualification · Qualification 121

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

716.73 – 354.5

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

812 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 60.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 914.8 ±9.3

9029Team NF

Season APEX 203.7Event APEX 86.18Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 382.63Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 247.92Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 693 ±10.5

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 122.1Rank 58Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

386Team Voltage

Season APEX 199Event APEX 95.53Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 136.87Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9029, 2910, 1796

/ 100 compat

Projected

716.7 pts

~3.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 9029, 2910, 1796

Auto

143.8 20%

Teleop

411.9 57%

Endgame

164.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 42%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1108, 386, 2370

/ 100 compat

Projected

354.5 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 1108, 386, 2370

Auto

60.8 17%

Teleop

177.1 51%

Endgame

111.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 42%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 3.1 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score716.7pts

Blue projected score354.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 42%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 362.2
Score range: 272–800
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1140 vs event baseline 458.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

914.8Season APEX693

143.8Auto60.8

411.9Teleop177.1

164.9Endgame111.7

161Consistency207

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	161	95
teleop	435	144
endgame	191	89
foul	25	0
total	812	328

Result

Final score

812 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 60.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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