Qualification · Qualification 120

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

457.43 – 519.65

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

662 – 473

Prediction missed · off by 125.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 843.7 ±9.3

2713Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 272.1Event APEX 110.71Rank 32Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 178.2Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 168.52Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 734 ±9.5

1540Flaming Chickens

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 232.85Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 153.18Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

424Rust Belt Robotics

Season APEX 220.8Event APEX 133.62Rank 61Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2713, 5736, 346

/ 100 compat

Projected

457.4 pts

~1.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 2713, 5736, 346

Auto

102.0 23%

Teleop

251.4 56%

Endgame

95.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1540, 930, 424

/ 100 compat

Projected

519.7 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 1540, 930, 424

Auto

89.2 17%

Teleop

270.8 53%

Endgame

153.6 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.76 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score457.4pts

Blue projected score519.7pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 76%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 36%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.2
Score range: 375–602
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1135 vs event baseline 457.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

843.7Season APEX734

102Auto89.2

251.4Teleop270.8

95.2Endgame153.6

114Consistency187

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	122	76
teleop	416	263
endgame	124	129
foul	0	5
total	662	473

Result

Final score

662 – 473

Prediction missed · off by 125.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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