Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
208.52 – 208.52
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
529 – 129
Prediction correct · off by 200 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 857.4 ±8.8
Season APEX 237.3Event APEX -Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 272.1Event APEX -Rank 32Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 348Event APEX -Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 709.7 ±9.9
Season APEX 189.9Event APEX -Rank 65Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 260Event APEX -Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 259.8Event APEX -Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3354, 2713, 2046
50
/ 100 compatProjected
208.5 pts
~2.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 3354, 2713, 2046
Auto
62.6 30%
Teleop
104.3 50%
Endgame
41.7 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 35%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1902, 2067, 88
50
/ 100 compatProjected
208.5 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 1902, 2067, 88
Auto
62.6 30%
Teleop
104.3 50%
Endgame
41.7 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 35%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.87
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score208.5pts
Blue projected score208.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 73%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 26%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 134–284
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
857.4Season APEX709.7
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 74 | 64 |
| teleop | 348 | 54 |
| endgame | 107 | 11 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 529 | 129 |
Result
Final score
529 – 129
Prediction correct · off by 200 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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