Qualification · Qualification 119

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

332.6 – 382.21

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

223 – 350

Prediction correct · off by 70.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 612.2 ±9.8

2996Cougars Gone Wired

Season APEX 272.6Event APEX 181.59Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6988ACI35

Season APEX 142.2Event APEX 80.59Rank 60Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1807Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 70.42Rank 52Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 666.4 ±8.7

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 163.22Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 109.06Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10553Orange Overdrive

Season APEX 183.6Event APEX 109.93Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2996, 6988, 1807

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.6 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 2996, 6988, 1807

Auto

69.6 23%

Teleop

150.9 49%

Endgame

87.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 868, 3005, 10553

/ 100 compat

Projected

382.2 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 868, 3005, 10553

Auto

65.0 17%

Teleop

216.3 58%

Endgame

91.0 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.55 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score332.6pts

Blue projected score382.2pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 28%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -49.6
Score range: 250–465
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 573 vs event baseline 458.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

612.2Season APEX666.4

69.6Auto65

150.9Teleop216.3

87.2Endgame91

161Consistency167

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	100
teleop	121	171
endgame	34	79
foul	0	0
total	223	350

Result

Final score

223 – 350

Prediction correct · off by 70.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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