Qualification · Qualification 112

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

740.39 – 461.66

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

751 – 330

Prediction correct · off by 71.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 975.1 ±8.7

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 384.17Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 244.82Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2713Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 272.1Event APEX 111.4Rank 32Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 716.4 ±9.8

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 60.84Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5549Gryphon Robotics

Season APEX 254Event APEX 209.3Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 191.52Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2910, 6036, 2713

/ 100 compat

Projected

740.4 pts

~3.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2910, 6036, 2713

Auto

94.9 13%

Teleop

455.4 63%

Endgame

178.1 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 40%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10979, 5549, 5736

/ 100 compat

Projected

461.7 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 10979, 5549, 5736

Auto

94.1 21%

Teleop

258.0 57%

Endgame

103.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 40%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 3.06 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score740.4pts

Blue projected score461.7pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 40%, blue 31%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 278.7
Score range: 380–822
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1081 vs event baseline 458.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

975.1Season APEX716.4

94.9Auto94.1

455.4Teleop258

178.1Endgame103.9

194Consistency176

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	136	61
teleop	452	149
endgame	163	90
foul	0	30
total	751	330

Result

Final score

751 – 330

Prediction correct · off by 71.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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