Qualification · Qualification 111

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

302.18 – 312.4

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

531 – 388

Prediction missed · off by 152.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 776.2 ±9.3

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 165.79Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1807Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 51.88Rank 52Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 84.51Rank 29Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 626 ±10.4

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 111.14Rank 58Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

180S.P.A.M.

Season APEX 250.7Event APEX 128.3Rank 54Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6988ACI35

Season APEX 142.2Event APEX 72.96Rank 60Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1833, 1807, 2783

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.2 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 1833, 1807, 2783

Auto

74.6 27%

Teleop

156.8 56%

Endgame

48.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1108, 180, 6988

/ 100 compat

Projected

312.4 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 1108, 180, 6988

Auto

75.3 25%

Teleop

141.2 47%

Endgame

83.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score302.2pts

Blue projected score312.4pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.2
Score range: 220–394
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 919 vs event baseline 458.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

776.2Season APEX626

74.6Auto75.3

156.8Teleop141.2

48.6Endgame83.6

142Consistency178

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	131	105
teleop	285	177
endgame	115	91
foul	0	15
total	531	388

Result

Final score

531 – 388

Prediction missed · off by 152.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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