Qualification · Qualification 110

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

479.35 – 379.82

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

464 – 621

Prediction missed · off by 128.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 696 ±9.3

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 227.27Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 110.34Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9067The Goonies

Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 141.74Rank 39Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 815.4 ±14.3

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 147.81Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5951Makers Assemble

Provisional

Season APEX 288.7Event APEX 108.64Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3354PrepaTec - TecDroid

Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 123.37Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 948, 3005, 9067

/ 100 compat

Projected

479.4 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 948, 3005, 9067

Auto

78.9 17%

Teleop

252.3 54%

Endgame

132.0 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 346, 5951, 3354

/ 100 compat

Projected

379.8 pts

~1.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 346, 5951, 3354

Auto

82.5 22%

Teleop

185.6 51%

Endgame

99.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.65 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score479.4pts

Blue projected score379.8pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 79%, blue 81%

Supercharged bonusred 29%, blue 37%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99.5
Score range: 298–561
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1085 vs event baseline 457.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

696Season APEX815.4

78.9Auto82.5

252.3Teleop185.6

132Endgame99

154Consistency133

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	112	87
teleop	249	315
endgame	103	204
foul	0	15
total	464	621

Result

Final score

464 – 621

Prediction missed · off by 128.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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