Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
205.1 – 205.1
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
503 – 468
Prediction correct · off by 280.4 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 728.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 302.1Event APEX -Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 250.7Event APEX -Rank 54Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 176.1Event APEX -Rank 39Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 686.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 183.6Event APEX -Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 220.8Event APEX -Rank 61Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 282.2Event APEX -Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 695, 180, 9067
50
/ 100 compatProjected
205.1 pts
~2.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 695, 180, 9067
Auto
61.5 30%
Teleop
102.5 50%
Endgame
41.0 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 28%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10553, 424, 5736
50
/ 100 compatProjected
205.1 pts
~2.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 10553, 424, 5736
Auto
61.5 30%
Teleop
102.5 50%
Endgame
41.0 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 28%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.04 · Blue 2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score205.1pts
Blue projected score205.1pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 73%, blue 73%
Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 26%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 131–279
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
728.9Season APEX686.6
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 74 | 96 |
| teleop | 268 | 264 |
| endgame | 161 | 103 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 503 | 468 |
Result
Final score
503 – 468
Prediction correct · off by 280.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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